(This is a letter from the day after tomorrow,
from the world after America, written by a
time-traveller in 2050)

To state the obvious, the world after America is a lot more Muslim.

Between 2010 and 2030, the ummah – the worldwide Muslim community – was predicted to increase from somewhere between a fifth and a quarter of the global population to one third of humanity (18).  By the time we got there, they wound up with a little more than that, the demographers having failed to take into account such icing on the ummah’s cake as the accelerating Muslim conversion rates on the Continent.

But one third of humanity turned out to be a good ballpark figure, give or take.  Non-Muslims did most of the giving, and Islam did most of the taking, especially of Europe.  According to the UN, global population is supposed to peak at about nine billion in 2050, then level off and start to decline (19).

If you were one of those now mostly extinct eco-fetishists who thought of humanity as a species, then that nine billion was the number to watch, up from six billion at the turn of the century.  But, if you didn’t think of the world as one unified global parking lot, you were less interested in the big number and more interested in its constituent parts:  on the road to that nine billion, almost all the increase in global population came from Islam and sub-Saharan Africa.

Muslims would represent a third of the world’s population, yet, aside from a handful of rapacious emirs and a few thousand layabout Saudi princes gambling and whoring in Mayfair and Macau, enjoy almost none of its wealth.

That would come as no surprise if you recall that statistic about Egypt’s economic decline relative to South Korea.  And Mubarak’s thug state was considerably less decayed than Sudan and other Islamic hinterlands where by the dawn of the third millennium they had done a cracking job of killing almost all human progress of the modern age.  Nevertheless, they are one in three of the global citizenry.

In the first decade of the twenty-first century, Niger, which is over 90 percent Muslim, increased its population by almost half – from just over 10 million to just over 15 million (20).  In 2000, half a million of its children were estimated to be starving, but that was no reason not to add a few million more (21).  Its population is predicted to hit just under 100 by the end of this century – in a country that can’t feed a people one-tenth that size.  Was it ever likely that an extra 90 million people would choose to stay within Niger?

Samuel Huntington, in The Clash of Civilizations (now banned in Europe, following a “human rights’ complaint), wrote vividly about “Islam’s bloody borders” – “the boundary looping across Eurasia and Africa that separates Muslims from non-Muslims” and provided so many of the horror stories on the nightly news (22).  But by 2020 you could no longer delineate with any clarity that looping boundary:  the border was a blur.

By 2010, there were more Muslims in Germany than in Lebanon (23).  Within a few years, Germany would be semi-Muslim in its political character.  That doesn’t mean a majority of the population is Muslim, but the prevailing culture is.  Recently, I saw an old film called Cabaret, with a memorable scene in a beer garden, in which an Aryan youth sings “Tomorrow Belongs to Me” and everybody joins in.  It is a long time since I have been to a German beer garden.  Tomorrow would belong to chaps less into draining their steins.

Though less bibulous, the new Europe is an unhealthier continent.  I am not speaking metaphorically.   By the beginning of the twenty-first century, in the city of Bradford (England), 75 percent of Pakistani Britons were married to their first cousins (24).  Even the Neanderthal racists warning against the horrors of mass immigration in the late 1960s never thought to predict that in the Yorkshire grade-school classes of the early twenty-first century a majority of the pupils would be children of first cousins.  Yet it happened.

The western elites stuck till the end to their view of man a homo economicus, no matter how obvious it was that cultural identity is a primal indicator that mere economic liberty cannot easily trump.  If a man is a Muslim mill worker, which is more central to his identity – that he is a Muslim or that he works in a mill?  So the mill closed down, and the Muslim remained, and arranged for his British -born sons to marry cousins imported from the old country, and so a short-term need for manual labor in the mid-twentieth century led to Yorkshire adopting Mirpuri marriage customs.

Beyond Bradford, in the nation as a whole, 57 percent of British Pakistanis wee married to their first cousins by the turn of the twenty-first century (25).  If, like most of the experts, you were insouciant about that number and assumed that the seductive charms of assimilation would soon work their magic, well, in 1970 the percentage was half that.  But back then there were a lot fewer cousins to marry.

Many non-Pakistani Britons were a little queasy about the marital preferences of their neighbors but no longer knew quite on what basis to object to it.  “The ethos of relativism,” wrote the novelist Martin Amis, “finds the demographic question so saturated in revulsions that it is rendered undiscussable (26).  That is why, even though the marital customs of the Pakistani community of New York were little different, you heard not a peep on the subject from brave American urban liberals still cheerfully making sneering cracks about inbred fundamentalist redneck southern hillbillies.

British Pakistanis wee then officially less than 2 percent of the population,, yet accounted for a third of all children born with rare recessive genetic diseases – such as Mucolipidosis Type IV, which affects brain function and prevents the body expelling waste  (27).  Native Scots families aborted healthy babies at such a rate they’re now all but extinct; Pakistani first-cousin families had two, three, four children born deaf, or blind, or requiring spoon-feeding and dressing their entire ives.  Learning disabilities among this community cost the education system over $100,000 per child.  They cost the government health system millions of pounds a year.

And this was the only way a culturally relativist West could even broach the topic:  nothing against cousin marriage, old boy, but it places a bit of a strain on the jolly old health-care budget.  Likewise, don’t get me wrong,  I’ve nothing against the polygamy, it just the four welfare check you’re collecting for it.  An attempt to confine spousal benefits to no more than two wives was struck down as discriminatory by the European Court of Human Rights.

But this was being penny-wise and pound-blase’.  When 57 percent of Pakistani Britons wee married to first cousins, and another 15 percent were married to relatives, and a fair number of those cousin couples were themselves the children of cousins, it surely signaled that at the very minimum this community was strongly resistant to traditional immigrant assimilation patterns. Of course, in any society, certain groups are self-segregating:  the Amish, the Mennonites, and so on.  But when that group is not merely a curiosity on the fringe of the map but the principal source of population growth in all your major cities, the challenge posed by that self-segregation is of a different order.

A combination of entitlements and demography would cripple much of the developed world both fiscally and physically.  The new Europe is sickly, and its already unsustainable health systems have buckled under the strain.  Unless you are in the government nomenklatura, or a member of an approved identity group with an effective lobbying organization, or a celebrity, “universal access to quality health care” means universal access to an ever lengthier, ever more bureaucratically chaotic waiting list.

As for the aging native populations, they were the ones who found it increasingly difficult to self-segregate.  There was an entertaining Swedish public health professor called Hans Rosling who like to use his “Trendalyzer” software to present zippy four-minute demographic computerizations of how the world had progressed over the last two centuries (28).  He used to pop up on YouTube back before the “gatekeeping” or whatever euphemism the Chinese owners now user for their “family-friendly filtering.”  Professor Rosling produced fund stuff, showing how Botswana by 2010 had advanced, on major socioeconomic, to where Portugal once was, and how Singapore had overtaken Scandinavia.  But it would have been interesting to see him apply his Trendalyzer to parts of his own country.

Founded as a dock for the Archbishop of Lund, Malmo was one of the first Christian cities in Denmark.  In our time it could become the first Muslim city in Sweden.  In the old days, around 2011, 2012, I sat and had a coffee in a nice little place in a beautiful medieval square in the heart of town.  Aside from a few modernist excrescences, it would not have looked so different in the early days of the Lutheran church.  I got lucky, and fell in to conversation with a couple of young Swedes.  Fine-looking ladies.  They’re not entirely extinct, not quite, but already I miss Nordic blondes.  At dusk, and against their advice, I took a 20-minute walk to Rosengard.

As one strolled the sidewalk, the gaps between blondes grew longer, and the gaps between fierce, bearded Muslim men grew shorter.  And then eventually you were in the housing projects, and all the young boys kicking a soccer ball around were Muslim, and every single woman was covered – including many who came from “moderate” Muslim counties and did not adopt the headscarf  or hijab until they emigrated to Sweden, where it was de rigeur, initially in Rosengard but increasingly throughout.

Even then, ambulances and fire trucks did not respond to emergency calls without police escort.  What was the rationalization Israel used at the Oslo Accords?  “Land  for peace”?  In Sweden, about as far as you can get from Gaza and the West Bank, they would also trade land for peace, and wound out with neither.  The Jews were the first to flee Malmo:  soon it was just another town with a weed-strewn, decaying “old Jewish cemetery”  Nevertheless, it was not merely the Jewish graveyard that was destined to be abandoned, but the Lutheran ones, too.



Pew Research Center, “The Future of the Global Muslim Population,” January 27, 2011; available online at http://pewresearch.ord/pubs/1872/muslim-population-projections-worldwide-fast-growth.


CNN, “U.N.: Earth’s population to his 9 billion by 2050, 10 billion by 2100”, May 3, 2011; available online at http://articles.cnn.com/2011-05-03/us/united.nations.population.forecast-populations-growth-fertility?_s=PM:US.


Reuters, “Niger averts food crisis but faces population boom,” October 18, 2010; available online at http://www.reuters.com/article/2010/10/18/us-niger-food-idUSTRE69H22J20101018.


“Niger’s starving children are dying as we speak, UN humanitarian hief tells world,” The Times, July 21, 2005;available online at http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article546355.ece.


Samuel P. Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order (New York: Simon & Schuster, 19998).


BBC, “One in four is Muslim, study says,” October 8, 2009; available online at http://news.bbc.co.uk.2/hi/8296200.stm.


Francis Gibb, “Rise in marriages between cousins ‘is putting children’s health at risk’,” The Times, March 20, 2010; available online at http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/health/article7069255.ece.


Mark Bulstrode, “Muslim Peer in Marriage Attack,” The Express,January 30,2011;available online at http://www.express.co.uk.books/2007/dec/01/race.islam.


Martin Amis, “No, I am not a racist,” The Guardian, December 1, 2007; available online at http://www.guardian.co.uk/books/2007/dec/01/race.islam.


Dipeh Gadher, Christopher Morgan and Jonathan Oliver, “Minister warns of ‘inbred’ Muslims,” The Times,February 10, 2008; available online at http://timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article3342040.ece.


TED.com, “Hans Rosling’s new insights on poverty,”  June 2007; available online at http://www.ted.com/talks/hans_rosling_reveals_new_insights_on_poverty.html.


The above was excerpted from the book AFTER AMERICA, Get Ready for Armageddon by Mark Steyn published by Regnery Publishing, Inc., Washington, DC, 2011, ISBN 978-1-59698-100-3, pp 291-295.

I urge you to purchase the book and to read and reflect on its important message for us our nation, for the western civilized world in which we live, and for us individually.

– Abyssum

About abyssum

I am a retired Roman Catholic Bishop, Bishop Emeritus of Corpus Christi, Texas


  1. abyssum says:

    – Abyssum

  2. How do we evangelize the Muslisms?

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